September 25, 2013: The Globe and Mail
After the deluge: How Alberta's floods will be a litmus test for Redford at the polls
While three years away, the next provincial election could well be a referendum on the Premier's handling of the disaster. Which is why she is no doubt paying close attention to what government-commissioned polling is indicating – most of which is good news, some of which is not.
The government had Innovative Research Group gauge the public's mood to the flood response in two rounds of polling – first in July and then again in August. The Globe and Mail obtained results of both surveys.
September 21, 2013:
The Search for Seats: Ontario's Political Scene
Following an active political summer, there is a lot of new information for Ontario political observers to consider. Not only do we have new polling results where voters tell us what they would do in theory, we have five by-election results where we can see what voters actually did in practice.
Parties count seats, not votes. This may seem counter-intuitive coming from a pollster, but the reality is what counts on election night is not whether you have more votes than the other parties across the province, but whether you can get a plurality of votes in a majority of seats. This is what pundits mean when they talk about distribution. While it doesn’t happen often, it is possible to win an election with fewer voters than your main competitor.
June 13, 2013: The Province
Voters feared NDP, left-wing gov't in charge of the economy: Pollster
June 10, 2013: The Globe and Mail
Are Canadians moved by big oil's ad campaigns?
June 7, 2013: The Globe and Mail
Christy Clark's transition plan begins in earnest
June 6, 2013: Policy Magazine
Canadians Conflicted on Canada as an Energy Superpower
May 27, 2013: Spacing
Skeptcism on revenue tools
May 15, 2013: The Globe and Mail
Ontario NDP is losing support amid budget talks, new polls suggest
April 25, 2013: Innovative Research Group
What are the implications of BCs changing demographics and values on potential turnout in BC?
In a democracy, power is given to those who show up. Not voting has consequences. If parties don’t count your votes, they don’t count your opinions. Chinese and younger British Columbians have been counting for less because they have not been showing up to be counted on election day.
INNOVATIVE asked 600 members of the general public in a survey conducted in English, 200 Chinese-speaking BC voters and 100 Punjabi-speaking BC voters how likely they are to vote in the upcoming election and whether they feel voting is a duty or an individual choice. Using these responses, we explore differences in intended turnout by age and ethnicity and ask if these differences are permanent due to value changes or if there is a potential for turnout to return to higher levels.
February 6, 2013:
Maritime union not likely any time soon